Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#304
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.1#78
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#285
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#301
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 21.8% 54.4% 20.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.6% 68.2% 43.8%
Conference Champion 2.7% 8.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 2.1% 11.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.50.0 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.20.0 - 2.7
Quad 20.1 - 1.50.1 - 4.2
Quad 31.0 - 4.31.1 - 8.6
Quad 49.0 - 8.310.1 - 16.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 59   @ St. Mary's L 62-79 3%    
  Nov 09, 2018 43   @ Arizona St. L 71-89 2%    
  Nov 29, 2018 56   @ SMU L 61-78 3%    
  Dec 01, 2018 302   @ NC Central L 69-70 38%    
  Dec 04, 2018 21   @ Mississippi St. L 63-84 2%    
  Dec 13, 2018 302   NC Central L 69-70 59%    
  Dec 15, 2018 279   @ UMKC L 74-76 33%    
  Dec 18, 2018 100   Louisiana L 71-83 20%    
  Dec 22, 2018 311   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-79 41%    
  Jan 02, 2019 330   @ Incarnate Word W 77-74 51%    
  Jan 05, 2019 328   @ Northwestern St. W 74-71 50%    
  Jan 09, 2019 230   Abilene Christian L 71-75 46%    
  Jan 12, 2019 292   @ New Orleans L 70-71 37%    
  Jan 16, 2019 263   Nicholls St. L 77-79 52%    
  Jan 19, 2019 236   SE Louisiana L 69-73 47%    
  Jan 26, 2019 312   Houston Baptist W 82-81 62%    
  Feb 02, 2019 227   Lamar L 71-75 46%    
  Feb 06, 2019 258   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-73 31%    
  Feb 09, 2019 328   Northwestern St. W 74-71 68%    
  Feb 13, 2019 105   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-81 11%    
  Feb 16, 2019 236   @ SE Louisiana L 69-73 29%    
  Feb 20, 2019 303   Central Arkansas L 79-80 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 292   New Orleans L 70-71 56%    
  Feb 27, 2019 263   @ Nicholls St. L 77-79 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 312   @ Houston Baptist W 82-81 42%    
  Mar 06, 2019 309   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-70 61%    
  Mar 09, 2019 227   @ Lamar L 71-75 27%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 16.9 8.1 - 9.9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 3.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.9 0.9 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.5 1.5 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 1.8 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.4 0.9 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 13th
Total 0.4 0.9 2.7 4.1 6.5 8.2 10.3 11.2 11.1 10.7 9.6 7.5 7.0 4.4 3.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 75.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 47.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.4% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.2
16-2 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.7 0.1%
15-3 1.4% 1.4
14-4 3.1% 3.1
13-5 4.4% 4.4
12-6 7.0% 7.0
11-7 7.5% 7.5
10-8 9.6% 9.6
9-9 10.7% 10.7
8-10 11.1% 11.1
7-11 11.2% 11.2
6-12 10.3% 10.3
5-13 8.2% 8.2
4-14 6.5% 6.5
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%